Tyler Cowen linked to an excellent observation by Ross Douthat:
The point is that as a society changes, as what’s held sacred and who’s empowered shifts, so do the paths through which evil enters in, the prejudices and blind spots it exploits.
So don’t expect tomorrow’s predators to look like yesterday’s. Don’t expect them to look like the figures your ideology or philosophy or faith would lead you to associate with exploitation.
Expect them, instead, to look like the people whom you yourself would be most likely to respect, most afraid to challenge publicly, or least eager to vilify and hate.
Because your assumptions and pieties are evil’s best opportunity, and your conventional wisdom is what’s most likely to condemn victims to their fate.
Saturos sent me a post that discusses (among other things) how the group that formed to promote free speech on campus eventually become the most powerful opponent of free speech on campus.
I’m also reminded that the group that fought hardest for monetary equilibrium in the 1970s (the hawks) became the group most forcefully promoting monetary disequilibrium in the 200os.
And that the group that fought hard to engage the US in the fight against fascism in the 1940s (those opposed to isolationism) became promoters of fascist regimes during the Cold War.
And the group that fought for liberal reforms in the 1800s eventually began promoting eugenics.
And the group that formed to promote the liberation of women ended up promoting laws against prostitution and pornography.
I just got back from a Mont Pelerin meeting in Hong Kong. I was on the panel discussing the “The Coming Inflation Threat.” Of course I said that there is no inflation threat. After the meeting a young person from Australia told me that among his generation of classical liberals the general view is that “If they can’t have an Austrian world, their second choice is a Scott Sumner world.” Naturally I was flattered, but of course if it ever happened then at some point I’d become a force for evil in the world.
PS. The conference was excellent—much better than I expected.
PPS. We may not have a Scott Sumner world, but Saturos sent me a post showing that at least I am on the map. Indeed 4 economics blogs made the map. Three certainly belong there—about the fourth I have . . . no opinion.
PPPS. This seems relevant to the post:
There is a single characteristic, I argue, that defines and unites the cognitive community that you and I share if you are reading this (the community of nerds). These days we often identify as rationalists, skeptics, or atheists, interested in cognition and cognitive biases; we are likely to eat LSD at Burning Man. We read analytic philosophy, science fiction, and LessWrong. We are intelligent, socially awkward, and heavily male. Is there a good name for that?
Lucid Dream
Intelligence and social awkwardness partially explain many of the patterns of our community, but neither is the characteristic I have in mind. This characteristic may be explained by analogy to lucid dreaming (incidentally, a common interest of our members). Dreams ordinarily fool us; despite their incoherence, we accept them as fully real while we are in them.
With effort, over time, you can get in the habit of performing “reality checks” during waking life: trying to push your fingers through solid surfaces, perhaps, or to breathe with airways closed. When asking, “am I dreaming?” and testing coherence becomes enough of an aspect of everyday reality, you may start performing reality checks in dreams, too. If you are successful, your reward will be an insight denied to most people: knowledge of the fact that you are dreaming.
Dreams demonstrate that our brains (and even rat brains) are capable of creating complex, immersive, fully convincing simulations. Waking life is also a kind of dream. Our consciousness exists, and is shown particular aspects of reality. We see what we see for adaptive reasons, not because it is the truth. Nerds are the ones who notice that something is off – and want to see what’s really going on.
Our People
Communal belief – social reality – and the sacrednesses that it produces are precisely the powerful layers of distortion that we are likely to notice (and hence have a chance at seeing through). We are less able than normal humans to perceive social/sacredness reality in the first place, and to make matters worse, we are addicted to the insight rewards that come from trying to see through it even further. Autism is overrepresented in our community; depression, too. Autism is associated with a reduced ability to model other brains in the normal, social way; this failure carries even into modeling the mind of God, as autism is inversely linked to belief in God. The autistic person is more likely than the neurotypical to notice that social reality exists; we might say the autistic person gets a lucid dreaming reality check for the great social dream with every inscrutable (to him) human action he witnesses.
Mild depression removes pleasurable feelings from everyday life; it interferes with a mechanism for sacredness-maintenance distinct from the theory of mind path autism blocks. Meaning is deconstructed in depression; social connection is weakened. Ideas and things that for normal individuals glow with significance appear to the depressed person as empty husks. The deceptive power of social and sacredness illusions is weakened for the depressed person (as are certain other healthy illusions, such as the illusion of control). This is not necessarily a victory for him, as self-deception is strongly related to happiness; the consolation of insight may not make up for the loss of sacredness in terms of individual happiness. The characteristic that distinguishes us is not necessarily a good thing. Our overdeveloped, grotesque insight reward seeking is likely maladaptive, and is probably not even doing our individual selves any good. Extremists – those most capable of perceiving social/sacred reality – are happiest.