Archive for August 2020

 
 

Trump’s new ambassador to Germany

Each day, Trump reaches new lows in depravity. His new ambassador to Germany is just one example:

Like Trump, Macgregor has cast doubt on the NATO alliance, saying that we should withdraw our troops in Germany and make it clear “that we are not going to be the first responder” if allies are attacked by Russia. Also like Trump, Macgregor has a disquieting tendency to echo Vladimir Putin’s propaganda. While appearing on Russia’s state-owned RT, he justified the Russian invasion of Ukraine by falsely saying that eastern and southern Ukrainians are “clearly Russian” and “should be allowed to join Russia.” By contrast, he criticized the U.S. intervention to stop the ethnic cleansing of Muslims by “Orthodox Christian Serbs in Kosovo.”

The claim that Russia has a right to invade portions of a neighboring country inhabited by ethnic Russians is of course the exact same argument Hitler used for invading the Sudetenland. But then Macgregor thinks there’s way too much criticism of the Nazis:

Macgregor has also been an outspoken critic of Merkel’s government. He claims that Germany “seems more concerned about providing free services to millions of unwanted Muslim invaders, to be blunt, than it does about its own armed forces in the defense of its country.” He even thinks that Germany has gone too far in making penance for Nazi crimes: “There’s sort of a sick mentality that says that generations after generations must atone for the sins of what happened in 13 years of German history and ignore the other 1,500 years of Germany.”

It’s “sick” to teach young Germans that there are people still alive in your own country who participated in killing 6 million Jews, not to mention enormous numbers of Russians, Poles, Roma, etc? Perhaps he prefers the whitewashed history taught in Japan.

Prior to 1989, people trying to cross the border from East to West Germany were often shot and killed. Macgregor sees great merit in that sort of approach to border control:

He says that immigration from Mexico is our greatest national security threat and that Democrats are trying to “create demographic change that will make them the permanent power inside the borders of the United States.” He advocates that we declare martial law along the border and “shoot people” if necessary.

It’s well known that Trump is proud of his German heritage, and indeed views the Germans as a sort of superior race. I’m not sure what part of his German heritage he is most proud of, but it is certainly not the liberalism of Angela Merkel.

If Trump is still president 4 years from today then the US government will be so far down in the gutter that it will be almost unrecognizable.

Come on people; admit that I was right about Trump. Right from the beginning.

Jordan Schneider on Trump and TikTok

When I complain about the way that Trump is trying to extort money from TikTok, people say I know nothing about tech and should learn from experts like Jordan Schneider and Ben Thompson. OK, here’s Jordan Schneider:

While I agree that TikTok could not continue to operate in the US while controlled by Bytedance, the method Trump going about executing this policy couldn’t be more counterproductive. Taking this step against Bytedance is a tough call. It means that any hope of enticing Chinese capital to continue investing in America is over, and life will get even harder for American firms trying to maintain a foothold on the mainland. More importantly, the optics of Trump demanding a, probably not even legal, finder’s fee to the Treasury are awful. I’m old enough to remember way back when in 2016 America used to credibly preach the gospel of due process and rule of law around the world. . . .

What’s the right way to handle concerns about the influence of foreign social media platforms? With repeatable and consistently enforced country-agnostic regulations that require both American and foreign firms to submit to the same verifiable standards for data privacy, algorithmic transparency, and content moderation.

But what we have now with Trump’s handling of TikTok combined with this ‘clean network’ nonsense from Pompeo is more damning to our global standing and ability to advocate for an open internet than anything Global Times could have dreamed up. Pompeo literally said “five cleans” as if he worked on the Chinese State Council when for god’s sake there are six cleans in the slide! It’s really not too much to ask that in this tech cold war Trump is marching America into he not at the same time gratuitously ape the worst aspects of the CCP.

Taking Trump seriously and literally

Before becoming president, Trump said things that were so bizarre and so offensive that most people assumed he could not possibly be serious. They’d say things like, “Trump should be taken seriously, but not literally.” After all, if we took him literally, then he would have been a fascist.

Some examples. Prior to becoming president:

Trump said we should have stolen Iraq’s oil. Seriously, he said that.
Trump often lavished praise on Vladimir Putin. He said the previous Russian leader didn’t have a “firm enough hand”.
Trump said the Chinese showed strength in putting down the Tiananmen “riots” in 1989. Not brave peaceful protesters—rioters.

It seems incredible that a US president would actually favor fascist policies, so these comments were discounted as Trump just being Trump. It now appears that we should have taken Trump literally.

Today, Trump is brazenly trying to steal money from the Chinese, and is igniting a cold war with China.

Trump issued a pardon for soldiers viewed by our own military as war criminals and then uses one of them as a mascot for his campaign. People hate Nazi comparisons, but come on now—praising war criminals?

Trump encourages Xi Jinping to put Uighurs into concentration camps in Xinjiang province. People hate Nazi comparisons, but . . .

Here’s Bloomberg:

President Donald Trump repeatedly insisted on Monday that any sale of TikTok’s U.S. operations would have to include a substantial payment to the U.S. — but it wasn’t clear under what authority he can extract a payout.

It would be unprecedented, based on recent history, for the U.S. government to collect a cut of a transaction involving companies in which it doesn’t hold a stake. Trump said the money would come from China or an American buyer such as Microsoft Corp.

“The United States should get a very large percentage of that price, because we’re making it possible,” Trump told reporters at a news conference Monday evening. “Whatever the number is, it would come from the sale, which nobody else would be thinking out but me, but that’s the way I think. And I think it’s very fair.”

“Wasn’t clear under what authority”? Is Bloomberg that naive? Trump doesn’t need any authority to do anything. There’s no law that gives Trump the right to stop Americans from using TikTok, so why should the lack of legal authority stop Trump from engaging in what the Chinese correctly call “smash and grab“?

The US already controls almost all of the world’s biggest tech companies. But that’s not enough. When the Chinese finally come up with a competitor that American consumers like (recall how the anti-Chinese nationalists tell us they can’t invent anything) then it’s not enough that we ban it, we also want to steal it without paying fair compensation. The US government is like a mafia family. We won’t be satisfied until 90% of the world’s wealth is in NASDAQ.

Every day I pray for the moment when the Europeans and the Chinese finally have the nerve to stand up to Trump. Unfortunately, I don’t expect it to happen.

PS. Some commenters point me to tech experts like Ben Thompson and Jordon Schneider, who worry about potential manipulation of TikTok by the Chinese government. (And yes, these guys do know 1000 times more about tech than I do.) I agree that that is a risk, but why not wait and see if there is a problem, and then shut them down if a problem develops?

I notice that Russia (which has far more nukes than China), actually does invade other countries. We worry that China might invade other countries. I notice that Russia actually does interfere in US elections. We worry than China might interfere in US elections. And yet it’s China with which the foreign policy establishment is determined to start a cold war.

PS. The Taiwanese should be very, very worried about what Trump is doing. Unlike the US, they are weaker than China. This madness won’t end well.



Will Trump do for NIMBYism what he did for trade and immigration?

The GOP has traditionally been the party that is more skeptical of economic regulations, including zoning restrictions. Republican states like Texas have far more lenient zoning rules than Democratic states like California.

But just as Trump moved the GOP away from its traditional views on trade and immigration, he seems to be doing the same on zoning.
I say, “seems” because his tweets are so vague that it’s hard to be sure. But that’s certainly the perception out there, and there’s some evidence to support that claim.

For the sake of this post, there are three groups to consider. President Obama enacted a “progressive” policy to promote housing construction that was also highly complex and interventionist. Conservative intellectuals tended to oppose the Obama regulations, and support a streamlined approach that focused mostly on reducing zoning barriers to new construction. A new group of conservatives likes zoning rules, as they are seen as preserving suburbs full of single-family homes.

As of January, the anti-zoning conservatives seem to have had won, and Ben Carson’s proposed rule changes reflected their views. But this is an election year, and the final version of the rules rejected the anti-zoning conservative approach and went with the pro-zoning conservatives, who are motivated by some combination of favoring “local control” and genuine support for zoning. Trump began sending out his typical dog whistle tweets about protecting real Americans in their suburban utopias from those awful people who might move in if we don’t stop them.

Here’s Reason:

But by reversing course on its own proposed rule, the Trump administration has passed on an opportunity to impose a fair housing rule that would do a better job of fulfilling the purpose of the fair housing act, while also incentivizing freer markets in land use across the country.

It’s a symbolic defeat for those who had hoped that Trump’s deregulatory promises and the explicitly YIMBY-inflected rhetoric coming from administration officials would prevail over his toxic culture war politics.

With the preceding in mind, consider the following quote from New York magazine:

Alas, if Trump has an intuitive grasp of white suburbia’s id, he has no feel for its superego. Making it impossible for poor people to move to your town — and thus, lay a claim on your local tax dollars, or the time and attention of your kid’s public school teachers — clearly has some appeal to left-leaning suburbanites. But being confronted with the fact that this is what they are doing when they oppose new construction — let alone, that by doing so they are effectively entrenching racial segregation — has no appeal to this voting bloc. NIMBY liberals want racially exclusionary zoning policies wrapped up in rhetoric about historical preservation, not Trump’s garish branding.

In fact, by ripping off liberal NIMBYism’s Jane Jacobs mask — and revealing that it was actually Old Man Racism all along — Trump likely did more to advance the cause of neighborhood desegregation than that of his own reelection. A variety of euphemisms — and the fact that zoning laws are a form of government regulation — have helped liberal NIMBYs reconcile their political identities with their reactionary housing politics. Trump has now made that task more difficult. Meanwhile, among liberal homeowners who’d previously lacked strong views about local housing debates, Trump’s intervention could be a catalyst for pro-inclusive-zoning voting behavior and civic engagement. The president has already demonstrated a gift for mobilizing Democrats against regressive policies they’d previously abided (or even supported). There are large and important distinctions between the Obama and Trump administrations’ immigration policies. But there’s no question that the unabashed racism of the latter’s rhetoric on border security made white liberals less tolerant of mass deportation — and more supportive of Central American migrants’ asylum rights — than they had been under Trump’s predecessor. Similarly, by associating opposition to immigration and trade with xenophobic nationalism, Trump has brought the American public’s support for both those pillars of “globalism” to new heights.

Yes, New York magazine has a strong liberal bias. But notice that this piece is actually critical of the typical suburban Democratic voter in places like California. They are counting on Trump to (indirectly) make the Democrats see the light on zoning.

It’s certainly true that support among Democrats (in public opinion polls) for trade and immigration has soared under Trump. Whether that change of heart is sincere is another question. But it a minimum, Trump’s recent statements might make YIMBYism poll better, at least for a while.

Of course it’s policy that matters, and we won’t know the answer to that question (on trade, immigration and zoning) until the next time the Dems take power.

Back in the era of Ronald Reagan and Jack Kemp, conservatives would have been slightly ashamed to promote government regulations that help some upper middle class whites and hurt lower income minorities. That sense of shame is gone—now they promote these tribal views loudly and proudly.

Everything is political in a banana republic

Another example:

Two board members have since departed. David C. Williams, the vice chairman, left in April over concerns that the Postal Service was becoming increasingly politicized by the Trump administration, according to two people familiar with his thinking. Ronald Stroman, who oversaw mail-in voting and relations with election officials, resigned in May.

One of the remaining members, Robert M. Duncan, is a former Republican National Committee chairman who has been a campaign donor to Trump.

In accusing the administration of politicizing the Postal Service, the president’s critics point to a recent decision to send a mailer detailing guidelines to protect against the coronavirus. The mailer, which featured Trump’s name in a campaignlike style, was sent in March to 130 million American households at a reported cost of $28 million.

According to Postal Service emails obtained by The New York Times under the Freedom of Information Act, Trump was personally involved.

And then there’s this headline:

A day after Trump floated delaying the presidential election, which he cannot do, the White House condemned Hong Kong for delaying its election

But is this really a surprise? This is an administration where Trump encourages Xi Jinping to put Uighers into concentration camps while his aides pretend to criticize the policy.

Meanwhile, Trump continues to use the power of the presidency to boost the value of his family’s real estate holdings:

But shifting the FBI headquarters to the suburbs would clear the way for redeveloping its current site, a prime property ripe for shops, restaurants, high-end apartments — and a luxury hotel. That luxury hotel would compete with another one a block away on Pennsylvania Avenue: the Trump International, which, in 2018, provided the president’s company with a substantial chunk of its revenue.

What’s the nation’s hotelier in chief to do? Following his personal intervention, the government announced that rather than moving the FBI, it would raze the building and rebuild on the same insecure, too-small site, which would force thousands of FBI staffers to move permanently to facilities in Idaho, Alabama and West Virginia. As for the cost, including to relocate more than 5,000 FBI headquarters personnel for years while construction was underway — well, no one could provide an estimate of that.

When I used to argue that it’s not a good idea to have a mentally unstable person with his finger on the nuclear trigger, people reassured me that Trump was surrounded by sober military experts like General Mattis and General McMaster. Now Trump has gotten rid of those two and is surrounding himself with people as paranoid as Jack D. Ripper from Dr. Strangelove. You might argue that Congress would never approve the Tata appointment, and that’s true. But quaint formalities like Senate approval are so 20th-century. This is the age of authoritarian nationalism, so Trump’s going to appoint General Tata anyway, despite his being too bizarre for even the Republicans in the Senate.

Do you think this guy plans to preserve the military’s traditional non-partisan stance?

In several tweets from 2018, Tata said that Islam was the “most oppressive violent religion I know of” and claimed Obama was a “terrorist leader” who did more to harm the US “and help Islamic countries than any president in history.” Following the publication of this story, Tata deleted several of his tweets, screenshots of which were captured by CNN’s KFile.

Tata, in one radio appearance, speculated the Iran deal was born out of Obama’s “Islamic roots” in an attempt “to help Iranians and the greater Islamic state crush Israel.”

Tata also lashed out at prominent Democratic politicians and the media on Twitter, such as California Reps. Maxine Waters and Nancy Pelosi, who he said “have always been the same violent extremists.”

Not that it matters, but Obama is Christian, not Muslim.

Donald Trump surrounded by delusional paranoid military leaders in his second term. Hey, what could go wrong?